Tips
Introduction
They are predominantly longshots that I think can place Top5, Top10 or Top20 at inflated odds. Naturally, I’m hoping for the occasional win as well.
The tips are based on seeking value so they are derived from my personal pricing of players relative to the bookmaker market. By ‘value’ I mean I believe the market odds on those players are too generous and betting on those golfers will over time eliminate for you the margin (vig) your bookmaker has built into his pricing.
How to get my unique Odds on every golfer
Because it’s such a time-consuming exercise, my (proprietary) odds are displayed, in a timely manner, only on GreenSquareGolf and you need to pay.
Green Square is a subscription site that costs $USD100pa, just under $2 (EUR1.70) a week. It is designed for bettors and fantasy players seeking the confidence that comes with access to user-friendly decision data that is the opposite of a mind-blurring mass of shot statistics.
Greensquaregolf contains not only my odds but a comprehensive guide for every tournament. It displays tournament fields in the manner of a horse racing form guide or racebook.
Every player is listed along with their: Bookmaker odds, my odds, age, nationality, official world ranking points, course form over the past 10-12 years & recent form over 12+ weeks – across all Tours.
By ‘all Tours’ I mean the 41 pro tours globally that I deem relevant: 27 Mens Tours and 14 Ladies tours.
I should add that I only pluck one or two players per tournament for highlighting in my tipsheet, whereas if you’re a GreenSquareGolf subscriber, along with all player and form info you get all my pricing IP.
So, there will thus be a number of non-tipped players in every tournament that may grab your attention, and a number that you will swiftly eliminate from your consideration; or my odds may usefully validate your existing thoughts. GreenSquare thus saves precious time and may in turn lead to more successful fantasy line-ups and positive wagers. I hope so.
Can’t Afford It?
If you’re broke, or too cheap to spend $$$ on a GreenSquare subscription these tips might help a bit. I reviewed them recently, back to June 2018, and if you’d simplistically just placed an each way wager on every one you’d have returned a profit of over 30%.
Final Words
I’ve recently vacillated over whether to bother with tips publication but ultimately decided to resume sharing because the ups and downs are such a fun ride; it was unsatisfying to internalise rather than share that ride.
The cause of my recent vacillation was a few persons who seemed to be reproducing rather too many of my tips on lower level pro golf as their own. I smelled plagiarism because lower level golf is an arena in which most of these oxygen bandits never had an original thought!
Anyway, it did take a bit of introspection but I eventually arrived this week at a happy place where I no longer pay attention to possible tipster plagiarism. I’m solely trying to make money betting on golf for myself and, along the way, share some of my observations in the form of free tips.
Hopefully a few continue to pay off at regular intervals.
Cheers, Mike. 2 September 2020.
